Jan 03
Disclaimer 2010
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February 21st, 2010 at 2:39 pm
I would guess that treasury yeilds aren’t going lower. They are at historical lows. The govenment is not going to reduce spending. Obama’s policies will not result in the magnitude of private sector growth required to achieve balance budgets. We will not develop domestic nuclear and natural gas resources. Balance of trade deficits will continue. Fiscal deficits will continue. Default on our outstanding debt through currency debasement is inevitable. Interest rates will rise unless Americans use all of the printed money to by US debt instead of Arab oil and Chinese manufactured goods.
February 21st, 2010 at 3:36 pm
I really don’t understand what people mean when they talk about a “bubble” in the bond market. Bonds aren’t tulip bulbs. Why not just say that interest rates are pretty low right now, and it seems that interest rates are more likely to rise than to fall in the near to intermediate term? “Just check the duration. That’s a technical term that’s the best measure of a bond’s inflation and interest-rate risk.”
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